US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before July

16%implied YES probability
▲ +9pp 24h ▲ +4pp 7d
Odds as of last update · refreshed at least daily

Current odds

PlatformCurrent oddsVolume
Kalshi YES 16% · NO 84% $2.0M

Tracked on Kalshi. MassPredict monitors 9 prediction-market platforms for the same question — when another platform lists this event, its price appears here for side-by-side comparison.

This market resolves based on the outcome of the question above, with a close date of July 1, 2026. The price is an implied probability set by traders on Kalshi — read it as the market's live estimate, not a guarantee or financial advice. Always check the source platform for exact resolution terms.

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