US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Oct 1, 2026
10%implied YES probability
▲ +3pp 24h ▲ +2pp 7d
Odds as of last update · refreshed at least daily
Current odds
| Platform | Current odds | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | YES 10% · NO 90% | $302.0K | view ↗ |
Tracked on Kalshi. MassPredict monitors 9 prediction-market platforms for the same question — when another platform lists this event, its price appears here for side-by-side comparison.
This market resolves based on the outcome of the question above, with a close date of October 1, 2026. The price is an implied probability set by traders on Kalshi — read it as the market's live estimate, not a guarantee or financial advice. Always check the source platform for exact resolution terms.
More Global Conflicts markets