Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
42%implied YES probability
±0pp 24h ▲ +1pp 7d
Odds as of last update · refreshed at least daily
Current odds
| Platform | Current odds | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold | YES 42% · NO 58% | $1.9M | view ↗ |
Tracked on Manifold. MassPredict monitors 9 prediction-market platforms for the same question — when another platform lists this event, its price appears here for side-by-side comparison.
This market resolves based on the outcome of the question above, with a close date of January 1, 2029. The price is an implied probability set by traders on Manifold — read it as the market's live estimate, not a guarantee or financial advice. Always check the source platform for exact resolution terms.
More Artificial Intelligence markets
SP has no monetary value · Not financial advice · 18+