Track and compare odds on 62 active Artificial Intelligence prediction markets — model releases, capability milestones, AI-company events and AGI timelines — aggregated across Polymarket, Kalshi, ForecastEx and 6 more platforms. When the same question trades on multiple platforms, MassPredict shows each platform's price side by side so you can spot divergence at a glance.
Best AI at the end of 2026? — Claude
KALSHI · YES 66% · NO 34% · $1.2M vol
Best AI at the end of 2026? — ChatGPT
KALSHI · YES 12% · NO 88% · $986.8K vol
Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]
MANIFOLD · YES 11% · NO 89% · $859.7K vol
Best AI at the end of 2026? — Gemini
KALSHI · YES 15% · NO 85% · $852.8K vol
By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?
MANIFOLD · YES 10% · NO 90% · $516.0K vol
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
POLYMARKET · YES 23% · NO 77% · $404.8K vol
Which company will have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? - Anthropic
FUTUUR · YES 76% · NO 24% · $249.0K vol
Which company will have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? - OpenAI
FUTUUR · YES 3% · NO 97% · $249.0K vol
Will we get AGI before 2027?
MANIFOLD · YES 3% · NO 97% · $228.4K vol
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026? — Anthropic
KALSHI · YES 62% · NO 38% · $176.7K vol
Who will acquire Pinterest this year? — OpenAI
KALSHI · YES 7% · NO 93% · $110.7K vol
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026? — OpenAI
KALSHI · YES 29% · NO 71% · $96.5K vol
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? — OpenAI
KALSHI · YES 48% · NO 52% · $85.3K vol
Will OpenAI pay scientific publishers for content by EOY 2025?
MANIFOLD · YES 9% · NO 91% · $75.0K vol
Will Anthropic release Claude 5 before Jan 2027?
KALSHI · YES 90% · NO 10% · $70.6K vol
Will OpenAI change its CEO?
KALSHI · YES 23% · NO 77% · $70.2K vol
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? — Anthropic
KALSHI · YES 22% · NO 78% · $54.7K vol
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
KALSHI · YES 38% · NO 62% · $51.1K vol
When will Anthropic release Mythos? — Before Jul 1, 2026
KALSHI · YES 28% · NO 72% · $49.5K vol
Companies to go public in 2026 - OpenAI
FUTUUR · YES 81% · NO 19% · $43.5K vol
Companies to go public in 2026 - Anthropic
FUTUUR · YES 85% · NO 15% · $43.5K vol
Which company will have the best AI model for text-to-video generation at the end of June 2026? - OpenAI
FUTUUR · YES 18% · NO 82% · $41.2K vol
Best AI at the end of 2026?: Gemini
GEMINI · YES 50% · NO 50% · $36.7K vol
Best AI at the end of 2026?: Claude
GEMINI · YES 69% · NO 31% · $36.7K vol
Best AI at the end of 2026?: ChatGPT
GEMINI · YES 19% · NO 81% · $36.7K vol
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? — Earbuds/Headphones
KALSHI · YES 35% · NO 65% · $36.0K vol
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? — OpenAI
KALSHI · YES 13% · NO 87% · $34.8K vol
Will Sam Altman become more cautious about AGI/ASI development after having a child?
MANIFOLD · YES 13% · NO 87% · $32.3K vol
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena? — Claude
KALSHI · YES 39% · NO 61% · $31.4K vol
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
POLYMARKET · YES 17% · NO 83% · $28.4K vol
When will Anthropic release Mythos? — Before Aug 1, 2026
KALSHI · YES 72% · NO 28% · $24.6K vol
Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?
KALSHI · YES 25% · NO 75% · $18.9K vol
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? — Clip-on device for clothing
KALSHI · YES 25% · NO 75% · $17.1K vol
When will Anthropic release Mythos? — Before Sep 1, 2026
KALSHI · YES 80% · NO 20% · $16.7K vol
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena? — ChatGPT
KALSHI · YES 9% · NO 91% · $15.1K vol
When will any company achieve AGI? — Before Jul 1, 2026
KALSHI · YES 4% · NO 96% · $13.2K vol
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena? — Gemini
KALSHI · YES 6% · NO 94% · $12.7K vol
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? — Glasses
KALSHI · YES 13% · NO 87% · $12.6K vol
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? — Phone
KALSHI · YES 19% · NO 81% · $11.2K vol
When will Anthropic release Mythos? — Before Jan 1, 2027
KALSHI · YES 89% · NO 11% · $10.9K vol
When will OpenAI release GPT-6? — Before Jul 1, 2026
KALSHI · YES 4% · NO 96% · $10.2K vol
TIME's Person of the Year for 2026? — ChatGPT
KALSHI · YES 9% · NO 91% · $9.0K vol
When will any company achieve AGI? — Before Jan 1, 2027
KALSHI · YES 16% · NO 84% · $7.7K vol
When will any company achieve AGI? — Before Oct 1, 2026
KALSHI · YES 6% · NO 94% · $7.4K vol
Gemini 3.5 released by...?: June 30, 2026
GEMINI · YES 83% · NO 17% · $6.4K vol
When will Anthropic release Mythos? — Before Oct 1, 2026
KALSHI · YES 83% · NO 17% · $5.7K vol
When will Anthropic release Mythos? — Before Dec 1, 2026
KALSHI · YES 85% · NO 15% · $5.5K vol
When will any company achieve AGI? — Before Apr 1, 2027
KALSHI · YES 21% · NO 79% · $5.1K vol
When will Anthropic release Mythos? — Before Nov 1, 2026
KALSHI · YES 86% · NO 14% · $4.9K vol
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? — Necklace
KALSHI · YES 5% · NO 95% · $4.2K vol
Which companies will the US take a stake in before 2027?: OpenAI
GEMINI · YES 8% · NO 92% · $3.2K vol
Which companies will the US take a stake in before 2027?: Anthropic
GEMINI · YES 13% · NO 87% · $3.2K vol
When will OpenAI release GPT-6? — Before Aug 1, 2026
KALSHI · YES 16% · NO 84% · $3.0K vol
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? — Ring
KALSHI · YES 14% · NO 86% · $3.0K vol
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? — Head-mounted display
KALSHI · YES 6% · NO 94% · $2.7K vol
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? — Watch
KALSHI · YES 10% · NO 90% · $2.6K vol
When will OpenAI release GPT-6? — Before Oct 1, 2026
KALSHI · YES 54% · NO 46% · $2.3K vol
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? — Tablet
KALSHI · YES 8% · NO 92% · $1.3K vol
Who will be the three wealthiest people in the world? — Steve Ballmer
KALSHI · YES 4% · NO 96% · $5 vol
SP has no monetary value · Not financial advice · 18+