Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
33%implied YES probability
±0pp 24h ±0pp 7d
Odds as of last update · refreshed at least daily
Current odds
| Platform | Current odds | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold | YES 33% · NO 67% | $562.0K | view ↗ |
Tracked on Manifold. MassPredict monitors 9 prediction-market platforms for the same question — when another platform lists this event, its price appears here for side-by-side comparison.
This market resolves based on the outcome of the question above, with a close date of January 1, 2030. The price is an implied probability set by traders on Manifold — read it as the market's live estimate, not a guarantee or financial advice. Always check the source platform for exact resolution terms.
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