Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7%implied YES probability
▲ +2pp 24h ▲ +2pp 7d
Odds as of last update · refreshed at least daily
Odds across platforms
| Platform | Current odds | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | YES 7% · NO 93% | $9.9M | view ↗ |
| Kalshi | YES 5% · NO 95% | $5.4M | view ↗ |
Spread between platforms: 2.0 pp · prices captured at last update; platforms refresh independently and may differ in timing
MassPredict matched this event across platforms. We display each platform's price side by side so you can see divergence — we do not tell you to trade the spread.
This market resolves based on the outcome of the question above, with a close date of November 7, 2028. The price is an implied probability set by traders on Polymarket and other platforms — read it as the market's live estimate, not a guarantee or financial advice. Always check the source platform for exact resolution terms.
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SP has no monetary value · Not financial advice · 18+