Will the S&P 500 be above 6845.5 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
74%implied YES probability
▼ -1pp 24h ▼ -2pp 7d
Odds as of last update · refreshed at least daily
Current odds
| Platform | Current odds | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | YES 74% · NO 26% | $744.6K | view ↗ |
Tracked on Kalshi. MassPredict monitors 9 prediction-market platforms for the same question — when another platform lists this event, its price appears here for side-by-side comparison.
This market resolves based on the outcome of the question above, with a close date of January 1, 2027. The price is an implied probability set by traders on Kalshi — read it as the market's live estimate, not a guarantee or financial advice. Always check the source platform for exact resolution terms.
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