Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

12%implied YES probability
±0pp 24h ±0pp 7d
Odds as of last update · refreshed at least daily

Current odds

PlatformCurrent oddsVolume
Manifold YES 12% · NO 88% $282.7K

Tracked on Manifold. MassPredict monitors 9 prediction-market platforms for the same question — when another platform lists this event, its price appears here for side-by-side comparison.

This market resolves based on the outcome of the question above, with a close date of December 31, 2060. The price is an implied probability set by traders on Manifold — read it as the market's live estimate, not a guarantee or financial advice. Always check the source platform for exact resolution terms.

More Artificial Intelligence markets